Just to be clear on the timeline here: July is like, 4 days away. But with the spring offensive being launched in June, it’s possible that the July peace talks might not happen until September.
The Ukraine is known to give things deceptive names in order to boggle the minds of their dim-witted opponents. It’s similar to how the Vikings named the ice land “Greenland” and the green land “Iceland.”
RT:
Peace negotiations on the Ukraine conflict could begin as early as next month, German state-TV channel ARD has claimed. According to the broadcaster, senior officials from a number of global powers held a meeting last week in the Danish capital Copenhagen to discuss the issue.
ARD reported on Sunday that US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan was among the dignitaries present at the event. According to the broadcaster, the main objective of the gathering was to secure the support of ‘neutral’ countries such as China, India, Brazil and South Africa.
The high-ranking meeting represented a major step forward toward actual peace negotiations, ARD claimed. Citing its Brussels bureau, it added that talks could get underway as early as July.
Last Thursday, the Financial Times reported that Sullivan, along with high-ranking State Department official Victoria Nuland, would head a “diplomatic offensive” at Ukraine’s request. Their purported objective was to convince powers from the ‘Global South’ to scale back their relations with Russia.
However, the officials were not confident of succeeding, the FT claimed. The newspaper quoted an anonymous European official as acknowledging that the “rest of the world is not convinced” by the West’s stance.
…
Meanwhile, taking to Facebook on Sunday, the head of Ukraine’s National Security and Defense Council, Aleksey Danilov, wrote that he would not rule out Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko’s participation in future peace talks involving Russia.
As I always say:
I do not have any insider information, and I am not a wizard, or in possession of any sort of mystical or magical powers. Therefore, it would be ridiculous for me to make predictions about things that will happen in the future.
“Predicting the future” has become a popular game among political commentators, as it is viewed as an easy way to gain credibility. What they all do is throw out tons of predictions, enough so that a handful will necessarily be correct, and then when the majority do not come true they ignore those and focus on the few they got right just by the nature of statistical odds.
I focus on the right-wing, because they’re the ones doing this in a way that is so offensive to me personally, but the left does it too. The left is actually probably worse about it. I’m old enough to remember when MSNBC was predicting every single day that the very next day Donald Trump would finally be caught red-handed colluding with Russia.
(NOTE: I’m not sure the left does this for political points in the way the right does. I think they are more about promoting a fantasy world by creating complex conspiracy theory narratives and then pushing off the need to prove them by claiming the proof will come at a later date. The right also does this, notably with QAnon and with Sean Hannity type theories about how Democrats are going to be arrested soon.)
So, I just want to be clear on that: I don’t make predictions.
The right is so inundated with prediction-makers that it sometimes seems like people are suggesting I’m bitching out for not making predictions. As if everyone has to make predictions, and if you say you don’t make predictions, you’re refusing to play by the rules. But seriously: I don’t have insider info and I am not a wizard. Why would anyone think I could predict events?
What I can do is look at the information that is available to all of us and try to figure out where things are going. Based on what people are saying and doing, I can look at potential outcomes.
There were only ever three potential outcomes to the Russia-Ukraine conflict:
#1: Russia wins the war, most likely through some kind of negotiated surrender by the extant Kiev Junta (less likely, it could be through a coup in the Ukraine, either assisted or unassisted by Russia) #2: The US/NATO enter the war and it becomes a global war, and #3: The pressure from the war and sanctions causes the Russian government to collapse, the country Balkanizes, and America installs various puppets. There was one outcome that was never a possibility at all:
#4: The Ukraine wins a war outright by dominating Russia on the battlefield. No matter how many weapons they got, and no matter how terribly Russia fought, the sheer differential in the sizes of the countries made #4 always impossible. At various points, the US’ top players, including the war’s main planner, Victoria Nuland, have said that #4 is impossible and the goal in saying you are trying to do #4 is pushing for #3. Meanwhile, many believed that Nuland was actually pushing for #2 behind the scenes.
One would have thought that #3 was off the table after the Russian economy was saved, but the attempted coup by Wagner’s Top Jew Prigozhin showed that this is still a possibility.
Click for Full Text!