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Title: US subprime crisis costs global 7.7 trillion dollars: Bank of America
Source: [None]
URL Source: http://www.breitbart.com/article.ph ... 202021.5qwu7lx0&show_article=1
Published: Feb 14, 2008
Author: staff
Post Date: 2008-02-14 22:49:08 by DeaconBenjamin
Ping List: *unUsual Suspects*     Subscribe to *unUsual Suspects*
Keywords: None
Views: 3096
Comments: 16

The meltdown in the US subprime real-estate market has led to a global loss of 7.7 trillion dollars in stock-market value since October, a report by Bank of America showed Thursday.

The crisis, which has spread beyond US shores to banks and other sectors worldwide, is "one of the most vicious in financial history," according to Bank of America chief market strategist Joseph Quinlan.

Quinlan said in the report that the losses are worse than any in the past few decades, including Wall Street's Black Monday of 1987, the 1999 Brazilian real currency crisis and the collapse of hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) in 1998.

An analysis by the US bank showed that in the most recent episode linked to subprime, or high-risk, real estate loans to people with shaky credit, world market capitalization was down 14.7 percent three months after a peak in late October.

That compared with a similar loss three months later of 13.2 percent after the LTCM crisis, 9.8 percent for Black Monday and 6.1 percent for the Brazil crisis.

The losses were also greater than those suffered after the September 11, 2001, terro attacks, the Asian financial crisis starting in 1997, Argentina's default on its debt in 2001 and the 1994 Mexican peso crisis.

"It could take months or even years before Wall Street and others get a handle on the true cost of the US subprime meltdown and the attendant global credit crunch," Quinlan said.

"While subprime loans were once thought to be relatively small in scale and contained to just one segment of the US financial sector, the opposite has become painfully evident over the past few months."

A report last week by Standard & Poors ratings agency showed global stock markets were walloped with a collective loss of 5.2 trillion dollars in the month of January alone.

Quinlan said it is not clear that the massacre in equities is over yet.

"Against this backdrop, any investor that has been buying US equities on the dips over the past few months has, in general, dug himself a deeper hole," he said.

"In the end, the current financial crisis is one for the record books and one, more ominously, not over yet." Subscribe to *unUsual Suspects*

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#1. To: DeaconBenjamin, not that the diversity mob cares, but here's the root cause of the meltdown (#0)

http://realestatelatino.com/pages/viewer.asp?show=true&rID=27&rflag=N

Nearly Four in 10 Mortgages to Minorities Were Subprime in 2006

PR Newswire

WASHINGTON, Oct. 4 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Mortgage lending to minorities was down seven percent in 2006, according to a new analysis released today at the 3rd Annual Mortgage Lending Industry Emerging Markets and Diversity Conference outside Washington, D.C. The only exception was among African Americans, which showed an increase of 0.6 percent over the prior year.

The 2007 Annual Minority Lending Report, compiled and released by Compliance Technologies and Genworth Financial, found that the greatest decline in minority homebuying was among Asian buyers -- down 21 percent. Hispanic homebuying declined 5.2 percent.

"The momentum we've been seeing in minority homebuying unfortunately came to a halt in 2006," stated Maurice Jourdain-Earl, Managing Director of Compliance Technologies. "The level of subprime lending to minorities that the report shows is troubling, which is something we will examine closely at our Mortgage Lending Diversity Conference this week."

Nearly four out of every 10 mortgages extended to "all minorities" in 2006 were subprime loans -- more than double the rate for white borrowers, according to today's report (39 percent compared to 18 percent). Among minorities, subprime lending was most prevalent with African-American borrowers (48 percent of all 2006 loans) followed by 42 percent of Hispanics and 17 percent of Asians. By comparison, 18 percent of white borrowers received subprime loans in 2006.

Using newly released 2006 Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) data, the report analyzes the change in minority home purchase loans between 2005 and 2006 nationally, and the percentage of new loans that were subprime. It provides an analysis of "all minority" home loans and a more in-depth look at activity among African-American, Hispanic, and Asian borrowers specifically. It also includes 2005 - 2006 homebuying information for white borrowers for comparison.

"This new report indicates that, for a variety of possible reasons, many minorities who took out a new mortgage last year are financing their home with a subprime loan," said Kevin Schneider, president of Genworth Financial's U.S. mortgage insurance business. "This meeting will explore ways to increase minority homebuying with an emphasis on safe, secure solutions. Mortgage insurance can play a part because it allows low down payment borrowers to avoid risky combo loans thereby reducing their risk significantly."

Genworth Financial is a leader in the mortgage insurance industry, which has seen new policies increase over 40 percent so far in 2007.

Topics to be addressed at this year's conference include assessing the damage from the mortgage meltdown, making diversity a core business value; reducing the minority homeownership gap; and ways in which state and local governments are breaking through minority homeownership barriers. For more information about the conference, visit http://www.mortgageindustrydiversity.com/.

Below is a snapshot for each minority category from the report. The full analysis is available upon request.

Highlights of the report for all minorities include:

All minority groups and whites experienced a decline in homebuying last year compared to 2005 except African-Americans (+0.6 percent). Nearly 4 out of every 10 (39.1 percent) mortgage loans made to minorities in 2006 were subprime. This was more than double the rate for white borrowers (18 percent). Utah, Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Louisiana top the list of states that experienced minority homebuying growth from 2005 to 2006.

Highlights of the report for Hispanics include:

Nationally, homebuying among Hispanics declined by five percent from 2005 to 2006, but Hispanics did outpace any other minority group last year with 692,014 loans (followed by African Americans with 448,082). North Carolina reported the strongest positive growth in Hispanic homebuying from 2005 to 2006 (up 21.6 percent), followed by South Carolina, Utah, North Dakota and Louisiana. The highest rates of subprime loans to Hispanics in 2006 were found in Rhode Island (52.3 percent), Massachusetts (49.2 percent), Florida (48.7 percent), Arizona (48.4 percent) and California (47.1 percent).

Highlights of the report for African Americans include:

African-American homebuying increased in 26 states and territories from 2005 to 2006. This compares to five states showing increases in homebuying among whites. In 12 states, more than one half of all mortgage loans to African Americans in 2006 were subprime. Michigan had the highest percentage of subprime loans to African-Americans in 2006 (70.7 percent), followed by Wisconsin (61.6 percent), Missouri (59.4 percent), Illinois (58.8 percent) and Indiana (57.4 percent).

Highlights of the report for Asians include:

Seventeen percent of all mortgage loans to Asians in 2006 were subprime, less than half the national subprime rate for all borrowers (39 percent) and lower than the national subprime rate among whites (18 percent). States experiencing the steepest 2005-2006 declines in Asian homebuying were Virginia (-44.8 percent), Arizona (-41 percent), North Dakota (-39.4 percent), Maryland (-35.2 percent) and California (-33.3 percent). Only 10 states saw Asian homebuying growth in 2006.

About Compliance Technologies

Compliance Technologies is a Washington D.C.-based emerging mortgage markets and lending compliance consulting firm. LendingPatterns.com is a trade name of ComplianceTech.

About Genworth Financial

Genworth Financial is a leading insurance holding company, serving the lifestyle protection, retirement income, investment and mortgage insurance needs of more than 15 million customers, and has operations in 27 countries. For more information, visit http://www.genworth.com/. Genworth Financial

Web site: http://www.mortgageindustrydiversity.com/http://www.genworth.com/

Source: PR Newswire


Jethro Tull  posted on  2008-02-14   22:57:39 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#4. To: Jethro Tull, DeaconBenjamin (#1)

but here's the root cause of the meltdown

Jethro, you are so dense at times that it shocks the mind to even consider it.

Nearly four out of every 10 mortgages extended to "all minorities" in 2006 were subprime loans -- more than double the rate for white borrowers,

Just out of, I don know, thinking, why don't you try and read the posts before you comment.... or, for that matter, post something.

Nearly 4 out of ten mortgages MADE TO MINORITIES WAS A SUBPRIME LOAN. That, Jethro, does not mean that 4 out of every 10 subprime morgages went to minorities. It also says that this rate is double the rate of white borrowers.... which means, Jethro, that 2 out of every 10 loans made to white borrowers were subprime loans. Which means that subprime loans to white borrowers far out numbered subprime loans to minority borrowers.

But actually, that means nothing anyway, cause the root cause of the meltdown was cheap rates on loans/fradulent appraisels that pushed the valuations of homes/land far beyond where they should have been... creating a bubble. The subprime mess simply blew the top off of that bubble. The other bubble that is now unwinding is on commercial real estate. Are you going to claim that was caused by 'minorities' as well?

As another for-instance, Jethro, borrowers took out about 600 billion dollars in second mortgages last year, many times pushing the total loans on their houses past the highest possible inflated price possible for the house. That is another BIG BIG piece of the bubble that is now crashing.

You really should try reading some of the really excellent posts that people have put up over the last month or so, and learn a little.

Start with the fact that the cause of the subprime mess is the bankers, and no one else. They created the problem, earning millions and billions doing so, and to think that the poor slobs who got ripped off are somehow responsible casue they saw a chance to own a home is worse than ridiculous, it is stupid.

richard9151  posted on  2008-02-14   23:46:28 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#6. To: richard9151 (#4)

Start with the fact that the cause of the subprime mess is the bankers, and no one else.

Not entirely true.

The root cause is the Federal Government and their "home ownership" programs, quotas, and whatnot. They changed the rules on mortgages and leaned on the banks to get them to write mortgages, ESPECIALLY to minority applicants.

So the banks did as they were told.

The Bush Administration was desperate to get home ownership up -- and Greenspan, when he was in charge of the Fed, refused to get involved in regulating subprime mortgages because he was taking his orders from the Administration. It was on Greenspan's watch that the Fed relaxed the rules on subprime despite many warnings.

I'm not making this up either. This is how it all got started. Dumbass Government Luminaries.

mirage  posted on  2008-02-15   5:16:21 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#7. To: mirage (#6)

So the banks did as they were told.

Just asking here, was adjustable rate lending a government directive or a banker's banquet ?

noone222  posted on  2008-02-15   5:18:59 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#8. To: noone222 (#7)

Just asking here, was adjustable rate lending a government directive or a banker's banquet ?

Remember, Greenspan himself went out and told the American Public to take an adjustable rate loan while he was busy jacking up interest rates.

The adjustable rate loans were used because they were one of the few ways they could make a borrower qualify for a mortgage, thereby increasing home ownership levels and making the bureaucrats happy since the numbers were coming in. More minorities owned homes. This made for happy regulators.

So after the paperfest, the banks had this stack of dodgy debt, less anything they could sell to Fannie Mae - so they securitized it and sold it off. Smart move on the banks' part there. Obey the master, dump the risk on someone else. Collect a fee in the middle. What's there not to like?

But like most Government interventions, it blew up.

mirage  posted on  2008-02-15   5:27:22 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


#9. To: mirage, Richard2468, All (#8)

It was another affirmative action, government feel-good program.

Bush Here

Greenspan Here

Jethro Tull  posted on  2008-02-15   6:11:39 ET  Reply   Untrace   Trace   Private Reply  


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